Jonathan Elkobi

Jonathan Elkobi Yonathan Elkobi

PhD Student in Political Science

Yale University

Greetings

I am a PhD student in the Department of Political Science at Yale and an MSc student in Computer Science at Yale. I received my Master’s in Chinese Economics and Political Affairs from the School of Global Policy and Strategy at UC San Diego, and my BA in Business Administration and China Studies from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

My research focuses on elite politics and elite speech, local governments, and politics and financial markets. Methodologically, I develop computational social science tools, especially text-as-data approaches using large language models and natural language processing, to measure political elite behavior and political speech. A central part of my research agenda examines municipal bond markets in the United States and China. I also work on projects about local-government economic outcomes, including pollution and growth, and how Central-Local Government Relations effect them. I alos have strong interest in how prediction markets affect politics.

Interests
  • Political Economy
  • Local Politics and Central-Local Government Relations
  • Elite Politics and Political Communication
  • Computational Social Science
Education
  • PhD in Political Science, 2024-2030 (expected)

    Yale University

  • MSc in Computer Science, 2024-2026 (expected)

    Yale University

  • Master in Chinese Economics and Political Affairs, 2022-2024

    School of Global Policy and Strategy, UC San Diego

  • BA in Business Administration and China Studies, 2019-2022

    The Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Research Agenda

How political elites, local governments, and financial markets shape one another.

Political Economy

Municipal finance and fiscal constraint

I study how local debt, fiscal autonomy, and partisan signals shape municipal bond markets and local economic outcomes in the United States and China.

Elite Politics

Speech, ideology, and influence

My projects measure how political elites communicate, how ideology structures elite behavior, and how online platforms can reshape public perceptions.

Methods

Computational social science

I build text-as-data workflows using NLP, large language models, causal inference, and scalable data pipelines for political science research.

Selected Working Papers

Current projects from my CV.

R&R at China Quarterly

The End of Fiscal Autonomy: Rising Local Debt and Fiscal Constraints in Chinese Provinces

with Victor Shih

Experience

Research and data science roles.

 
 
 
 
 
Data Science Research Consultant
StatsLab, Yale
August 2025 – Present New Haven, CT
 
 
 
 
 
Visiting Researcher
Law, Economics and Data Science Group, ETH Zurich
May 2025 – August 2025 Zurich, Switzerland
Visiting researcher with Elliott Ash.
 
 
 
 
 
Student Researcher
China Data Lab, 21st Century China Center, UC San Diego
December 2022 – August 2024 San Diego, California, US

Responsibilities include:

  • Develop natural language processing algorithms to conduct topic modelling on streaming corpora with millions of newspaper articles using machine learning frameworks
  • Analyze the Chinese Local Bond Market using time series analysis, and fixed effect regressions
  • Enhance an elite database by scraping data from official Chinese government websites and applying GPT API calls to extract relevant information
 
 
 
 
 
Software Engineering Research Intern
Data Science Institute, German Aerospace Center
June 2022 – August 2022 Jena, Germany
Developed a machine learning type inference algorithm by combining machine learning and novelty detection; synthesized data with Python libraries including SpaCy, NumPy, Pandas, Matplotlib, and Annoy.
 
 
 
 
 
Research Project Manager
Digital Humanities Lab, Hebrew University of Jerusalem
August 2021 – September 2022 Jerusalem, Israel
Developed computational pipelines in Python using NLP models, data mining, big data analysis, and machine learning for research on human rights discourse in the UN.